November 1999, Vol. 30, Issue 5
Students' Probabilistic Thinking in Instruction
Graham A. Jones, Cynthia W. Langrall, Carol A. Thornton, A. Timothy Mogill
In this study we evaluated the thinking of 3rd-grade students in relation to an instructional program in probability. The instructional program was informed by a research-based framework that included a description of students' probabilistic thinking. Both an early- and a delayed-instruction group participated in the program. Qualitative evidence from 4 target students revealed that overcoming a misconception in sample space, applying both part-part and part-whole reasoning, and using invented language to describe probabilities were key patterns in producing growth in probabilistic thinking. Moreover, 51% of the students exhibited the latter 2 learning patterns by the end of instruction, and both groups displayed significant growth in probabilistic thinking following the intervention.
This article is available to members of NCTM who subscribe to
Journal for Research in Mathematics Education. Don't miss outjoin now or upgrade your membership. You may also purchase this article now for online access.
Log In/Create Account
Purchase Article